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How Not to Argue about Cause and Effect

“If you spend a little time with CDC’s interactive maps, the conclusion seems blindingly obvious: measures taken by the states to “fight” the Wuhan virus, something that was never deemed possible before last year, imposed enormous costs but have made little or no difference in the end. The smart states were the ones . . .

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May 29, 2021

Black Swans: Burke, Keynes, Taleb

Branco Milanovic has a very interesting post on why Nassim Nicholas Taleb is “one of the most important thinkers today.”

Milanovic is a professor of economics at CUNY, a leading student of income inequality, Silvrback blog imageand not one, I suppose, to lightly hand out such praise.  Taleb, you recall, is a former derivatives trader, . . .

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February 03, 2018

Can we predict the future course of history?

Silvrback blog imageI posted recently (No “right sides” to history) on a type of globalist thinking that sees a borderless world as the inevitable endpoint of history. That moved me to dig up my old paperback copy of “The Poverty of Historicism”, Karl Popper’s classic polemic, published in 1957, against social theories that claim to . . .

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December 05, 2017

No "right sides" to history

Carl Ritter has a valuable discussion of globalism in Quillette magazine, called “The Poverty of Cosmopolitan Historicism”.  To clarify terms, globalism or cosmopolitanism is not the same as globalization.  Globalization is the growth in flows of trade, investment, people, and ideas across national borders, while . . .

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November 20, 2017

Archive

All Categories: trump(14) pandemics(11) usa(11) democracy(8) identity politics(8) race(8) elites(8) clintons(7) nation(7) film(7) china(7) american history(7) internet(7) fiction(7) politics(7) immigration(7) conservatism(7) media(6) globalization(6) india(6) nation state(5) religion(5) ethnicity(5) africa(5) europe(5) macroeconomics(5) britain(5) statistics(5) poetry(5) historicism(5) style(5) globalism(4) photographs(4) communism(4) music(4) scientific method(4) big tech(4) development(4) populism(4) revolution(4) e-commerce(3) international trade(3) science(3) crime(3) military(3) law-and-order(3) free speech(3) liberalism(3) markets(3) culture(3) world economy(3) silicon valley(3) african americans(3) marx(3) charles dickens(3) political philosophy(3) sanskrit(3) sports(3) economics(3) slavery(3) racism(3) stock market(2) innovation(2) comedy(2) james joyce(2) family(2) multiculturalism(2) moral philosophy(2) urban(2) nationalism(2) essays(2) state(2) monopoly(2) disasters(2) homer(2) law(2) minorities(2) logic(2) epic(2) monetary policy(2) women(2) national liberation(2) evolutionary psychology(2) karl popper(2) iran(2) tradition(2) diplomacy(2) feminism(2) edmund burke(2) institutions(2) obama(2) guns(1) trust(1) poverty(1) switzerland(1) art(1) genetics(1) inequality(1) game theory(1) united nations(1) journalism(1) russia(1) dance(1) political correctness(1) marriage(1) buddhism(1) nihilism(1) taiwan(1) emotions(1) social media(1) lincoln(1) afghanistan(1) rural(1) borges(1) bitcoin(1) blockchain(1) working class(1) mahabharata(1) nafta(1) fdi(1) zimbabwe(1) adam smith(1) charles darwin(1) mexico(1) theater(1) bubbles(1) manias(1) cliodynamics(1) alt-right(1) regressive left(1) probability(1) antitrust(1) churchill(1) foreign policy(1) j.m. keynes(1) epistemology(1) william hazlitt(1) oligarchy(1) anti-semitism(1) islam(1) machiavelli(1) caste(1) tom wolfe(1) new journalism(1) philosophical history(1) hegel(1) industrial policy(1) libertarianism(1) language(1) mathematics(1) fiscal policy(1) civil liberties(1) managerial expert class(1) home

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