Naimisha Forest
How Not to Argue about Cause and Effect
“If you spend a little time with CDC’s interactive maps, the conclusion seems blindingly obvious: measures taken by the states to “fight” the Wuhan virus, something that was never deemed possible before last year, imposed enormous costs but have made little or no difference in the end. The smart states were the ones . . .
Black Swans: Burke, Keynes, Taleb
Branco Milanovic has a very interesting post on why Nassim Nicholas Taleb is “one of the most important thinkers today.”
Milanovic is a professor of economics at CUNY, a leading student of income inequality, 
and not one, I suppose, to lightly hand out such praise. Taleb, you recall, is a former derivatives trader, . . .
Posted in: conservatismedmund burkeepistemologyinstitutionsj.m. keynespolitical philosophyprobabilityscientific method
Can we predict the future course of history?
I posted recently (No “right sides” to history) on a type of globalist thinking that sees a borderless world as the inevitable endpoint of history. That moved me to dig up my old paperback copy of “The Poverty of Historicism”, Karl Popper’s classic polemic, published in 1957, against social theories that claim to . . .
No "right sides" to history
Carl Ritter has a valuable discussion of globalism in Quillette magazine, called “The Poverty of Cosmopolitan Historicism”. To clarify terms, globalism or cosmopolitanism is not the same as globalization. Globalization is the growth in flows of trade, investment, people, and ideas across national borders, while . . .
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